The case for rotation
Capital rotates toward emerging markets whenever confidence in the US wavers, and it is wavering again: trade-policy reversals, war in the Middle-East and mounting pressure on the Federal Reserve are feeding a broader reassessment of America as the default destination for global capital. Layered on a structural growth premium (the IMF expects emerging economies to grow two and a half times faster than developed markets in 2026) that shift is what puts multi-year cycles of EM leadership back in play.